Will José Antonio Kast win between 16% and 20% of votes in the first round?

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the vote share José Antonio Kast wins in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by José Antonio Kast, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Servel) (https://www.servel.cl/).