Will Ken Paxton drop out?
ActiveVolume
$7K
Txns
190
Traders
66
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$11,600
Ends
May 25, 2026
Volume
$7K
Txns
190
Traders
66
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$11,600
Ends
May 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | WarriorPooh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -276.27 | $0.27 | |
| 2h | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.88 | $0 | |
| 2h | 0x92bb11Aa6E71aaEB4cea3C9A4EB915E2d5dC1AFB-1768960544824 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +271.39 | $0.27 | |
| 3h | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -42.62 | $0.09 | |
| 3h | 0x6B54e8F9f402618bA2B4cECD34988D530F1296E9-1777670948810 | No / 99.8¢ | -42.62 | $42.5 | |
| 11h | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11h | JEnnejns | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 13h | Sailsbary | No / 99.8¢ | -3.02 | $3.01 | |
| 13h | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3.02 | $0.01 | |
| 13h | Sailsbary | No / 99.9¢ | +4.10 | $4.1 | |
| 13h | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.10 | $0 | |
| 17h | eiszinka | Yes / 0.3¢ | +333.33 | $1.04 | |
| 17h | huyewell | Yes / 0.3¢ | -333.33 | $1 | |
| 18h | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | +50.40 | $0.1 | |
| 18h | 30sdfdsf | Yes / 0.2¢ | -50.40 | $0.1 | |
| 20h | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,688.00 | $3.38 | |
| 20h | Biver52 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 20h | ultralisk | Yes / 0.4¢ | +55.00 | $0.22 | |
| 20h | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,157.00 | $2.31 | |
| 20h | tetrose | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3,000.00 | $5.96 | |
| 1d | niglette | Yes / 0.7¢ | +265.32 | $1.86 | |
| 1d | kiddddddd | Yes / 0.8¢ | +60.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1d | surfa | No / 99.3¢ | +325.32 | $323 | |
| 1d | alexkrg | Yes / 1.7¢ | +84.00 | $1.43 | |
| 1d | peepeepooppoop | No / 98.2¢ | -80.00 | $78.6 |
1–25
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Yes 95%$283Kvolume
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?
No 100%$8.17Kvolume
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
No 95%$190Kvolume
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Yes 76%$14.6Kvolume
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
No 95%$5.66Kvolume
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
No 98%$5.06Kvolume