
Volume
$2M
Txns
2,217
Traders
486
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 18, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Only a nomination message that nominates Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve will qualify. A nomination solely to be a Member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not qualify. A joint nomination both for membership on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and for Chair of the Federal Reserve will count. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$22Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.4Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 94%$1.6Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.77Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 54%$1.84Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | poorsob | No / 99.9¢ | +3,500.00 | $3.5K | |
| 3mo | .ethguy | No / 99.9¢ | -3,500.00 | $3.5K | |
| 3mo | upont | No / 99.8¢ | -63.58 | $63.5 | |
| 3mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | -50,000.00 | $50K | |
| 3mo | 0xzipper | No / 99.8¢ | -400.00 | $399 | |
| 3mo | henaknen | No / 99.8¢ | -102.20 | $102 | |
| 3mo | poorsob | No / 99.9¢ | +58,679.10 | $58.6K | |
| 3mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | -8,003.07 | $8K | |
| 3mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +110.25 | $0.22 | |
| 3mo | yuveoy | No / 99.8¢ | -205.41 | $205 | |
| 3mo | upont | No / 99.8¢ | -18,365.31 | $18.3K | |
| 3mo | Blind Chicken | Yes / 0.2¢ | -19,000.00 | $38 | |
| 3mo | xumenayi | No / 99.8¢ | -100.20 | $100 | |
| 3mo | luluivv | No / 99.8¢ | -329.08 | $328 | |
| 3mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -12.52 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | classified | Yes / 0.6¢ | -0.48 | $0 | |
| 3mo | uu6h | No / 99.5¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 3mo | 5273853 | No / 99.8¢ | +3.84 | $3.83 | |
| 3mo | luluivv | No / 99.8¢ | -3.84 | $3.83 | |
| 3mo | seewe | No / 99.8¢ | -285.91 | $285 | |
| 3mo | plrasrun | No / 99.8¢ | -250.25 | $250 | |
| 3mo | Ahpo | No / 99.8¢ | +764.00 | $762 | |
| 3mo | luluivv | No / 99.8¢ | -27.44 | $27.4 | |
| 3mo | weneternally | No / 99.8¢ | -200.40 | $200 | |
| 3mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.52 | $0.04 |
1–25