Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?

This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of France, succeeding François Bayrou. Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote. If the confidence vote scheduled for September 8 passes, or if no new PM is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to “No new PM”. If the President of France calls new elections prior to appointing a new PM, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.