
Volume
$1K
Txns
160
Traders
47
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$6,265
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | nani | Yes / 5.8¢ | -50.00 | $2.89 | |
| 1d | Wordsmith | Yes / 6.0¢ | +50.00 | $3 | |
| 1d | nani | Yes / 6.0¢ | +50.00 | $3 | |
| 1d | Wordsmith | Yes / 6.0¢ | +50.00 | $3 | |
| 1d | 0x7a28z1 | No / 94.0¢ | +200.00 | $188 | |
| 1d | thecaricature | Yes / 6.0¢ | +100.00 | $6 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | RERFFSFD | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | HTFGHG | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | TRUTDGH | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | GFDGFDHF | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | DDSDGGFDG | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | MMHGMFCG | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | FDSFDYHHGF | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | DXRFTRSDYGH | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 | |
| 1d | NTGRFDF | No / 92.7¢ | -1.06 | $0.98 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.99 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$393Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.04Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 71%$516Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 74%$907Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.83Mvolume