Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$14K
Txns
463
Traders
135
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$2,670
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$14K
Txns
463
Traders
135
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$2,670
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0xmaow | Yes / 2.3¢ | -11.47 | $0.26 | |
| 1d | thecaricature | Yes / 2.4¢ | +11.47 | $0.28 | |
| 5d | alexkrg | Yes / 2.5¢ | +60.00 | $1.5 | |
| 5d | libratus1 | No / 97.5¢ | +100.00 | $97.6 | |
| 5d | thecaricature | Yes / 2.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.5 | |
| 5d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.5¢ | +20.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6d | 15rob | No / 97.2¢ | -1.03 | $1 | |
| 6d | 0xbAcb35A25671DC39a3f24Ae795761eD8B67db49E-1778492177852 | No / 97.2¢ | +1.03 | $1 | |
| 8d | thecaricature | Yes / 2.4¢ | +1.73 | $0.04 | |
| 8d | robotictrader | No / 97.6¢ | +1.73 | $1.69 | |
| 8d | 0xmaow | Yes / 8.6¢ | +11.47 | $1.02 | |
| 8d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 91.4¢ | +11.47 | $10.5 | |
| 8d | gavinfunda | Yes / 8.7¢ | +20.00 | $1.74 | |
| 8d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 91.4¢ | +79.00 | $72.4 | |
| 8d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 8.6¢ | +59.00 | $5.07 | |
| 8d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 90.3¢ | +30.00 | $27.2 | |
| 8d | PPMT | Yes / 9.7¢ | +30.00 | $2.91 | |
| 8d | alexkrg | Yes / 10.0¢ | +20.00 | $2 | |
| 8d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 90.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.1 | |
| 8d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 89.6¢ | +5.80 | $5.22 | |
| 8d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 89.6¢ | -5.80 | $5.2 | |
| 9d | doubtit | Yes / 10.5¢ | -9.52 | $1 | |
| 9d | RONALDOASET | Yes / 10.5¢ | +9.52 | $1.04 | |
| 12d | AleSanCH | Yes / 10.5¢ | +57.20 | $6.21 | |
| 12d | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 89.6¢ | +5.81 | $5.21 |
1–25
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