
Volume
$72K
Txns
1,454
Traders
405
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will. The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.12Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 99%$76.9Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.8Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 55%$741Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 99%$62.2Kvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 60%$50.2Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.99 | $0 | |
| 1y | PolyFi-662 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.99 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +799.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Anjun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | No / 99.8¢ | -30.14 | $30.1 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -32.71 | $32.6 | |
| 1y | Chad-Wasp | No / 99.8¢ | -9,501.77 | $9.48K | |
| 1y | vocifer | No / 99.8¢ | +10,563.62 | $10.5K | |
| 1y | Anjun | Yes / 0.2¢ | +999.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | iouyyr | No / 99.7¢ | +2.61 | $2.6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -2.61 | $2.6 | |
| 1y | kilootry45 | No / 99.7¢ | +4.01 | $4 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -4.01 | $4 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -7.02 | $7 | |
| 1y | tutrtoj213 | No / 99.7¢ | +7.02 | $7 | |
| 1y | venoosix | No / 99.7¢ | +6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | venoosix | No / 99.7¢ | +6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | vanqurtyl23 | No / 99.7¢ | +6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -7.02 | $7 |
1–25