
Volume
$21K
Txns
901
Traders
194
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 99%$76.6Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$81.6Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +168.38 | $0.17 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -168.38 | $0.17 | |
| 8mo | h4lfik | No / 99.8¢ | -78.14 | $78 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.2¢ | -78.14 | $0.16 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +78.14 | $0.08 | |
| 8mo | h4lfik | No / 99.9¢ | +78.14 | $78.1 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.61 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0xF7c1A979D1495E222394f5df7c78F6D1f6ec40b0-1737620629898 | No / 99.9¢ | +11.61 | $11.6 | |
| 8mo | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +5.86 | $5.85 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.86 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 8mo | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 8mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -42.00 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | Almazet | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,093.43 | $1.3 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.2¢ | -206.58 | $0.41 | |
| 8mo | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.1¢ | -844.85 | $0.84 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 8mo | samir85 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.10 | $0 | |
| 8mo | lowkeyr4c1s7 | No / 99.8¢ | -10.20 | $10.2 | |
| 8mo | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.20 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | lowkeyr4c1s7 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.20 | $10.2 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.90 | $0 | |
| 8mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.30 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | DooBieZ | Yes / 0.2¢ | -4.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 0x996b575Ebb31A1DA0d95Aa491cC2DE299A7662f1-1724238442456 | No / 99.8¢ | -4.00 | $3.99 |
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