Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$18K
Txns
162
Traders
59
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$865
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$18K
Txns
162
Traders
59
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$865
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 22.3¢ | -22.42 | $5 | |
| 4d | 0x09af...30e40a | Yes / 22.3¢ | +22.42 | $5.16 | |
| 5d | meowdupe | Yes / 16.0¢ | +12.50 | $2.07 | |
| 5d | Colala | No / 84.0¢ | +12.50 | $10.5 | |
| 8d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 1.0¢ | -89.75 | $0.89 | |
| 8d | R18helloworld | Yes / 1.2¢ | +13.60 | $0.16 | |
| 8d | 0x4dc3...d14702 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 1.0¢ | +76.15 | $0.76 | |
| 14d | btevwdf | No / 93.0¢ | -18.26 | $17 | |
| 14d | cristinathearena | Yes / 6.7¢ | -13.74 | $0.92 | |
| 14d | 15rob | No / 93.2¢ | +4.52 | $4.21 | |
| 17d | Colala | Yes / 1.4¢ | +1.17 | $0.02 | |
| 17d | R18helloworld | Yes / 1.5¢ | +8.40 | $0.13 | |
| 17d | cristinathearena | Yes / 1.4¢ | +8.69 | $0.12 | |
| 17d | btevwdf | No / 98.6¢ | +18.25 | $18 | |
| 18d | Adriandt99 | No / 98.9¢ | +5.05 | $5 | |
| 18d | cristinathearena | Yes / 1.1¢ | +5.06 | $0.06 | |
| 18d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | No / 93.2¢ | +4.99 | $4.65 | |
| 18d | 0x4dc3...d14702 | Yes / 7.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.35 | |
| 18d | iusedtowritepoetryforaliving | Yes / 12.0¢ | +94.75 | $11.4 | |
| 18d | hithitfar | No / 88.4¢ | +94.35 | $83.4 | |
| 19d | cristinathearena | Yes / 9.2¢ | -8.05 | $0.74 | |
| 19d | pmaker | Yes / 9.4¢ | -18.14 | $1.71 | |
| 19d | cristinathearena | Yes / 9.3¢ | -8.05 | $0.75 |
1–25
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