
Volume
$26K
Txns
1,267
Traders
178
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.28 | $0 | |
| 1mo | rated | No / 99.9¢ | +9.28 | $9.27 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.40 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | nashyy43 | No / 99.9¢ | +9.40 | $9.39 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.02 | $0 | |
| 1mo | OmaJane | No / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.39 | $0 | |
| 1mo | nashyy43 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.39 | $2.39 | |
| 1mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +22.99 | $23 | |
| 1mo | nashyy43 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | ronaldcapital | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | capetsa | No / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.99 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.91 | $0 | |
| 1mo | nashyy43 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.91 | $4.91 | |
| 1mo | OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes / 0.2¢ | -132.16 | $0.26 | |
| 1mo | 0xwhaleshark | Yes / 0.2¢ | -640.84 | $1.28 | |
| 1mo | KatieSoto | No / 99.8¢ | -773.00 | $771 | |
| 1mo | dongmu | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 100%$1.23Mvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 54%$170Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 62%$187Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.22Mvolume
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$51.5Kvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 99%$708Kvolume