Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 40,000 and 50,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the number of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).