
Volume
$10K
Txns
391
Traders
102
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or one of its executives or official spokespersons publicly and unambiguously accuses Microsoft of violating antitrust, competition, or antimonopoly laws by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The filing of a lawsuit, regulatory complaint, or formal petition by OpenAI against Microsoft that includes allegations of antitrust or anticompetitive behavior will count as a qualifying accusation. Statements must clearly indicate a belief that Microsoft is engaging in anticompetitive or monopolistic behavior under relevant legal frameworks. Vague criticism, expressions of competitive tension, or statements lacking a reference to antitrust or competition law will not qualify. Anonymous sources or internal leaks reported by the media will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 86%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +132.00 | $132 | |
| 10mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +67.00 | $66.9 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 10mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 10mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +67.00 | $0.07 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +785.35 | $785 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +255.33 | $0.26 | |
| 10mo | LBZero | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +97.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +184.00 | $0.18 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Lkens | No / 99.9¢ | -10.02 | $10 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.00 | $0.04 |
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