
Volume
$51K
Txns
1,609
Traders
342
Fees
$371
Liquidity
$3,445
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format. Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar. A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar. Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | No / 71.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.55 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 3h | jackdermot | No / 71.3¢ | +56.11 | $40.5 | |
| 3h | TraderProMax | Yes / 28.0¢ | +16.11 | $4.51 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 3h | ktv.02 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.45 | |
| 10h | ktv.02 | Yes / 34.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.7 | |
| 10h | ktv.02 | Yes / 34.0¢ | -2.73 | $0.93 | |
| 10h | 0x47c0F4438C458e5e73F810B632dF091482dfBf93-1773730999898 | No / 67.5¢ | -12.73 | $8.59 | |
| 10h | ktv.02 | No / 72.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.6 | |
| 10h | Haradwaith | No / 76.0¢ | +100.10 | $76.1 | |
| 10h | keybo | Yes / 24.0¢ | -100.00 | $24 | |
| 10h | Viserys | No / 75.3¢ | -319.85 | $241 | |
| 10h | planktonXD | Yes / 24.0¢ | -15.75 | $3.78 | |
| 10h | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 76.0¢ | +104.00 | $79 | |
| 10h | momomumu | No / 76.3¢ | -7.88 | $6.01 | |
| 10h | ktv.02 | No / 77.0¢ | +7.88 | $6.07 | |
| 20h | 0x62A67993F10A7CFf331757D324e62D9f3EFE54e3-1777100130149 | No / 76.3¢ | -2.12 | $1.62 | |
| 20h | ktv.02 | No / 77.0¢ | +2.12 | $1.63 | |
| 1d | ktv.02 | No / 80.0¢ | -5.62 | $4.5 | |
| 1d | ktv.02 | Yes / 21.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.1 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$393Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.04Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 71%$517Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 83%$70.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 74%$909Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 89%$1.44Mvolume