
Volume
$401K
Txns
3,920
Traders
537
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases the weights of a reasoning model (e.g., o1, o3) or a large language model (LLM) that is as advanced as GPT-3 by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Multimodal models (e.g., DALL·E, vision-language models), speech or audio-based models (e.g., Whisper), specialized AI agents or reinforcement learning models (e.g., robotics, AlphaCode-like systems) or models that otherwise do not meet the listed criteria will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.21Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$782Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$808Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$812Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$351Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | timf34 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -170.59 | $170 | |
| 10mo | Oompa-Loompa | Yes / 99.8¢ | +170.59 | $170 | |
| 10mo | p0psicle | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | 50cents | No / 0.1¢ | +900.00 | $0.9 | |
| 10mo | whyuasostupid | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | OkaneKasegu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,700.00 | $3.7K | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -89.31 | $0.18 | |
| 10mo | betwick | Yes / 99.7¢ | +6,473.79 | $6.45K | |
| 10mo | Debosnys | Yes / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 10mo | Lizba48 | No / 0.3¢ | +6,763.10 | $20 | |
| 10mo | p0psicle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 10mo | 50cents | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | p0psicle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 10mo | 50cents | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -1.19 | $0 | |
| 10mo | 0bgabo | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1.19 | $1.19 | |
| 10mo | Hossa | Yes / 99.8¢ | -107.00 | $107 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.2¢ | -107.00 | $0.21 | |
| 10mo | BeneGesseritVoice | Yes / 99.8¢ | +400.00 | $399 | |
| 10mo | Wojtek | No / 0.2¢ | +2,400.00 | $4.8 | |
| 10mo | Alphax | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 |
1–25