
Volume
$170K
Txns
7,791
Traders
2,232
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 12, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Malibu by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” East Malibu will not count as Malibu for the purposes of this market. Only Malibu's official boundary west of the Malibu creek/lagoon will count (see:https://maps.app.goo.gl/H3sMfYLwPQTbsCvd6) The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Malibu may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Krolik4545 | No / 99.9¢ | -101.10 | $101 | |
| 1y | ShelbyCompanyLtd | No / 99.9¢ | +101.10 | $101 | |
| 1y | ShelbyCompanyLtd | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | tigercager | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | tigercager | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +481.57 | $481 | |
| 1y | b3rtone | Yes / 0.2¢ | +700.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | helloboys | Yes / 0.2¢ | -18.43 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Raulwwt | No / 99.8¢ | -1.57 | $1.57 | |
| 1y | helloboys | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.57 | $0 | |
| 1y | MakerOne | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | B0nzie | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | jsorel | Yes / 0.1¢ | -453.65 | $0.45 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -453.65 | $453 | |
| 1y | wolfemily | No / 99.9¢ | +1.36 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.36 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | qortiz | No / 99.9¢ | +1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | ramirezamber | No / 99.9¢ | +1.54 | $1.54 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.54 | $1.54 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | meganyoung | No / 99.9¢ | +1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | maryhebert | No / 99.9¢ | +1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.96 | $1.96 |
1–25
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
No 84%$203Kvolume
California voter ID referendum passes?
No 51%$8.11Kvolume
Will another candidate win the Oakland mayoral race?
No 100%$22.5Kvolume
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?
No 100%$210Kvolume
Will Colorado have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
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Will California have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?
No 100%$1.72Kvolume