
Volume
$15K
Txns
117
Traders
49
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 21, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Vatutina Vulytsya and Puhachova Vulytsya located in Myrnohrad by November 21, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Myrnohrad: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad+intersection.jpeg Myrnohrad Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/qCLFQNiDKN2ABe5Q9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$28.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 56%$26.9Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 94%$4.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$20.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Kaijipt | Yes / 99.9¢ | -121.89 | $122 | |
| 6mo | PlexFlower | No / 0.1¢ | -121.89 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,682.00 | $1.68K | |
| 6mo | 0x6993...08c79a | No / 0.3¢ | +682.00 | $2.05 | |
| 6mo | PlexFlower | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,893.31 | $1.89 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,547.03 | $2.54K | |
| 6mo | DumplingBMF | Yes / 99.9¢ | -109.72 | $110 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +530.00 | $0.53 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | burnurbackyard | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +326.00 | $0.33 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +124.00 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +71.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +227.00 | $0.23 | |
| 6mo | OOv2MOOv2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +109.00 | $0.11 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +131.00 | $0.13 | |
| 6mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | No / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xd17dBA7de23787D235937110791c4836b3bBd0EE-1747068571319 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -53.72 | $53.2 | |
| 6mo | DiningSocrates | No / 2.0¢ | +50.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 98.3¢ | +148.71 | $146 | |
| 6mo | d.ddd.d..d | Yes / 97.9¢ | -44.99 | $44 | |
| 6mo | AJSV | Yes / 87.9¢ | -9.41 | $8.27 |
1–25