
Volume
$188K
Txns
1,136
Traders
227
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.741117, 36.316282 in Rivnopillia by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/1-178cd400d3.png Intersection Location in Rivnopillia: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/2-469f796758.png Rivnopillia Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/3-dbc721e799.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/1VoFbZ3bPiGcQtpm8 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$28.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
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Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | LinusB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.3¢ | -132.67 | $0.4 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.3¢ | -167.33 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | jcflqFrbQt | No / 0.3¢ | +300.00 | $0.9 | |
| 6mo | LinusB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | LinusB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 6mo | LinusB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +150.00 | $150 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 6mo | Numitus1994 | No / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | chillsshack | No / 0.1¢ | +176.82 | $0.18 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +37.50 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0x2951...2f5473 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -24.96 | $24.9 | |
| 6mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +18.75 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | KeyNg | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | LinusB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +898.03 | $897 | |
| 6mo | arttheking | Yes / 99.5¢ | +157.60 | $157 | |
| 6mo | PyezXxUwWo | No / 0.5¢ | +300.00 | $1.36 | |
| 6mo | getpoorordietryin | No / 0.4¢ | -98.10 | $0.39 | |
| 6mo | R19hehe | No / 0.4¢ | -44.30 | $0.18 | |
| 6mo | chillsshack | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 |
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