
Volume
$422K
Txns
3,401
Traders
777
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | oggogogo008 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.48 | $3.48 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +3.48 | $3.48 | |
| 7mo | JPLP | No / 99.9¢ | +731.00 | $730 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -731.00 | $730 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -2.37 | $2.37 | |
| 7mo | keithjoseph | No / 99.9¢ | +2.37 | $2.37 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -2.94 | $2.94 | |
| 7mo | SantiegoRamares | No / 99.9¢ | +2.94 | $2.94 | |
| 7mo | plindsey | No / 99.9¢ | +14.08 | $14.1 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -14.08 | $14.1 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -19.62 | $19.6 | |
| 7mo | vmcintosh | No / 99.9¢ | +19.62 | $19.6 | |
| 7mo | rccn | No / 99.9¢ | +11.01 | $11 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -11.01 | $11 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -3.62 | $3.62 | |
| 7mo | mcintyreellen | No / 99.9¢ | +3.62 | $3.62 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 7mo | mistybaker-277 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -2.20 | $2.2 | |
| 7mo | evansjames | No / 99.9¢ | +2.20 | $2.2 | |
| 7mo | rabbitoc | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 7mo | heidiware | No / 99.9¢ | +5.88 | $5.87 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -5.88 | $5.87 | |
| 7mo | archaic | No / 99.9¢ | -2.91 | $2.91 |
1–25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$20.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 95%$2.66Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.54Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 82%$1.96Mvolume