
Volume
$96K
Txns
702
Traders
174
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.2Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +453.00 | $0.45 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +490.00 | $490 | |
| 11mo | ArcLing | No / 99.9¢ | +7.77 | $7.76 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.77 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | N.A12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.92 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | dafa2 | No / 99.8¢ | +9.92 | $9.9 | |
| 11mo | Oompa-Loompa | No / 99.2¢ | +334.05 | $331 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | -334.05 | $331 | |
| 11mo | liyouaaaa | No / 99.2¢ | +20.16 | $20 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | -20.16 | $20 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | -5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.2¢ | -5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 99.1¢ | -5.04 | $4.99 | |
| 11mo | sampheng | No / 99.1¢ | +5.04 | $4.99 | |
| 11mo | doublett | No / 98.6¢ | -21.99 | $21.7 | |
| 11mo | smurfeta | No / 98.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.86 | |
| 11mo | Evador | Yes / 1.4¢ | -11.99 | $0.17 | |
| 11mo | rendahua | No / 99.1¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 11mo | Evador | Yes / 0.9¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 |
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