
Volume
$355K
Txns
3,556
Traders
639
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 98%$77.3Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 59%$742Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 91%$3.13Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.81Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 81%$56.7Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 98%$62.6Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.36 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.90 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.08 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +361.51 | $361 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.18 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.28 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.75 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.96 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.37 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.63 | $0 | |
| 5mo | flycococo1212 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | 0x0cb1ABf4D3dbae5e0241FBD808d37a5c33499caB-1761068792810 | No / 99.5¢ | -1.12 | $1.11 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.12 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.13 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | MrTank | No / 99.5¢ | -1.13 | $1.12 | |
| 5mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | fgdhWERG3434RHE | No / 99.5¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 5mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.97 | $0 |
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