
Volume
$317K
Txns
723
Traders
170
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 70%$1.83Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 88%$1.63Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 87%$1.5Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 64%$1.04Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 97%$2.6Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
No 100%$827Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | jesterthegoose | No / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.82 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 5mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +12,188.26 | $12.2K | |
| 5mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | anonguy | No / 99.9¢ | -51.14 | $51.1 | |
| 5mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.43 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | DeverNoom | No / 99.9¢ | -456.87 | $456 | |
| 5mo | Iamfine109 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +440.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +247.00 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +135.00 | $0.14 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | speed124 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 |
1–25