
Volume
$2M
Txns
13,814
Traders
1,929
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$184Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$108Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$114Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | aenews2 | No / 99.9¢ | +63.29 | $63.2 | |
| 5mo | Mori_ML | No / 99.9¢ | -63.29 | $63.2 | |
| 5mo | aenews2 | No / 99.9¢ | +26.46 | $26.4 | |
| 5mo | j.marat | No / 99.9¢ | -26.46 | $26.4 | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Pasvikelva3 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.81 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.75 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +21.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.19 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.28 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +84.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.38 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.39 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | alilili1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +439.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.01 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.96 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 |
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