Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$40K
Txns
554
Traders
179
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$887
Ends
Volume
$40K
Txns
554
Traders
179
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$887
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No / 53.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.77 | |
| 12d | G008 | No / 51.8¢ | -9.00 | $4.66 | |
| 12d | G008 | No / 49.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.52 | |
| 12d | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 51.0¢ | +9.00 | $4.59 | |
| 13d | podairpod | No / 80.0¢ | +92.00 | $73.6 | |
| 13d | 0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +109.00 | $22.7 | |
| 13d | tthahaha | Yes / 20.0¢ | -7.00 | $1.4 | |
| 13d | tthahaha | Yes / 20.0¢ | -10.00 | $2 | |
| 13d | 0xAC382928a693C9C342c92feD3552E260aaCfC565-1767706089048 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.08 | |
| 13d | podairpod | No / 80.0¢ | +10.00 | $8 | |
| 1mo | 0xd064...6b2704 | No / 68.0¢ | -0.33 | $0.22 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 68.0¢ | +0.33 | $0.22 | |
| 1mo | 0xd064...6b2704 | No / 70.0¢ | -1.13 | $0.79 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 70.0¢ | +1.13 | $0.79 | |
| 1mo | Troy-Corley | No / 70.0¢ | -197.14 | $138 | |
| 1mo | evispos | Yes / 30.0¢ | -197.14 | $59.1 | |
| 1mo | Troy-Corley | No / 70.0¢ | -242.85 | $170 | |
| 1mo | gg.pingi | Yes / 30.0¢ | -242.85 | $72.9 | |
| 1mo | evispos | Yes / 35.0¢ | +197.14 | $69 | |
| 1mo | Troy-Corley | No / 65.0¢ | +197.14 | $128 | |
| 1mo | gg.pingi | Yes / 35.0¢ | +242.86 | $85 | |
| 1mo | Troy-Corley | No / 65.0¢ | +242.86 | $158 | |
| 1mo | 0x6775...46745f | No / 71.0¢ | -0.20 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | jjeeesusssus | No / 71.0¢ | +0.20 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | BrittanyStevens5488 | Yes / 26.0¢ | -150.00 | $39 |
1–25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$4.32Mvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
No 100%$652Kvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$393Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 70%$4.33Mvolume
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
No 55%$3.15Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Yes 98%$1.19Mvolume