Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$5K
Txns
163
Traders
54
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,687
Ends
Volume
$5K
Txns
163
Traders
54
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,687
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | 25oodksmsss09 | No / 75.0¢ | +7.12 | $5.34 | |
| 3h | hitfar | Yes / 45.0¢ | -31.88 | $14.3 | |
| 3h | 0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500 | Yes / 37.3¢ | +53.13 | $20.4 | |
| 3h | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 26.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.3 | |
| 3h | explorer221 | No / 74.0¢ | +9.13 | $6.76 | |
| 17d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 34.0¢ | +7.00 | $2.38 | |
| 17d | CuckOne69 | Yes / 32.9¢ | -7.00 | $2.3 | |
| 1mo | SaucePolly1 | Yes / 36.0¢ | +7.81 | $2.81 | |
| 1mo | 0xbd84...ae1292 | No / 64.0¢ | +7.81 | $5 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | No / 53.0¢ | +3.83 | $2.03 | |
| 1mo | Brezh | No / 53.0¢ | -3.83 | $2.03 | |
| 1mo | Brezh | No / 70.0¢ | -9.49 | $6.64 | |
| 1mo | evx | Yes / 30.0¢ | -9.49 | $2.85 | |
| 1mo | evx | Yes / 30.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | CuckOne69 | Yes / 30.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | evx | Yes / 30.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | CuckOne69 | Yes / 30.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | 0x6775...46745f | No / 70.0¢ | -5.25 | $3.67 | |
| 1mo | evx | Yes / 30.0¢ | -5.25 | $1.57 | |
| 1mo | Brezh | No / 71.0¢ | -6.68 | $4.74 | |
| 1mo | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 29.0¢ | -6.68 | $1.94 | |
| 1mo | 0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891 | Yes / 29.0¢ | -10.00 | $2.9 | |
| 1mo | Brezh | No / 71.0¢ | -10.00 | $7.1 | |
| 1mo | evx | Yes / 30.0¢ | -6.68 | $2 | |
| 1mo | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 30.0¢ | +6.68 | $2 |
1–25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No 78%$4.21Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$387Kvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
No 100%$529Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 68%$4.33Mvolume
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Yes 61%$3.12Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Yes 97%$1.17Mvolume