
Volume
$31K
Txns
902
Traders
181
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$16.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$9.76Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 91%$17.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$5.05Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 68%$3.52Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$5.58Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | rjm139 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.09 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | rudylu | No / 99.7¢ | -5.09 | $5.07 | |
| 2mo | ears | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 2mo | BillyBoy94 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0x29367D86eF1432bfBBEb266BEc3b72f1Ce090a12-1770124606024 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | ears | No / 99.9¢ | +121.96 | $122 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.96 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | pahric | Yes / 0.1¢ | -342.56 | $0.34 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +214.53 | $0.21 | |
| 2mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +103.04 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.99 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | NoSteinNoGate | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3.79 | $0 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.79 | $0 | |
| 2mo | Ambeo- | Yes / 0.1¢ | -300.00 | $0.32 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +281.68 | $0.28 | |
| 2mo | cryptowhat | No / 99.8¢ | -18.32 | $18.3 | |
| 2mo | rjm139 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -66.21 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | cristinathearena | Yes / 0.3¢ | +66.21 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | felipecaprinii | No / 97.8¢ | -1.12 | $1.1 | |
| 2mo | rocky42013 | Yes / 2.2¢ | -1.12 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | cristinathearena | Yes / 0.3¢ | +13.60 | $0.04 | |
| 2mo | littleKevin | No / 99.7¢ | +13.60 | $13.6 |
1–25