Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
ActiveVolume
$2K
Txns
149
Traders
48
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$5,519
Ends
Volume
$2K
Txns
149
Traders
48
Fees
$3
Liquidity
$5,519
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h | AdjunctBias | No / 91.0¢ | +104.99 | $95.5 | |
| 13h | Deadheadbucky | No / 90.6¢ | -104.99 | $95.1 | |
| 1d | AdjunctBias | No / 91.0¢ | +277.77 | $253 | |
| 1d | jgcrm9up97bz | Yes / 9.0¢ | +277.77 | $26.4 | |
| 3d | 0xc6d9...3f3a6e | Yes / 8.8¢ | +102.05 | $9.77 | |
| 3d | BetterFish | No / 91.2¢ | +87.15 | $79.5 | |
| 3d | AdjunctBias | No / 91.0¢ | +4.91 | $4.47 | |
| 3d | Gaujmalietis | No / 91.1¢ | +9.99 | $9.1 | |
| 3d | 0xc6d9...3f3a6e | Yes / 8.8¢ | +11.36 | $1.09 | |
| 3d | BetterFish | No / 91.2¢ | +11.36 | $10.4 | |
| 3d | PPMT | No / 91.3¢ | +10.00 | $9.13 | |
| 3d | 0xc6d9...3f3a6e | Yes / 8.7¢ | +11.48 | $1.09 | |
| 3d | BetterFish | No / 91.2¢ | +1.48 | $1.35 | |
| 11d | PPMT | No / 91.1¢ | +19.99 | $18.2 | |
| 11d | podairpod | No / 90.7¢ | -19.99 | $18.1 | |
| 20d | podairpod | No / 90.6¢ | -80.00 | $72.5 | |
| 20d | APaintnobroke | No / 91.0¢ | +80.00 | $72.8 | |
| 29d | Chetonsol | No / 90.1¢ | -1.37 | $1.23 | |
| 29d | AJSV | No / 90.1¢ | +1.37 | $1.23 | |
| 29d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 9.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.49 | |
| 29d | 15rob | No / 90.2¢ | +8.62 | $7.78 | |
| 29d | Chetonsol | No / 90.2¢ | -13.62 | $12.3 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 1.8¢ | +5.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1mo | 15rob | No / 98.2¢ | -5.12 | $5.03 | |
| 1mo | Chetonsol | No / 98.2¢ | +15.00 | $14.7 |
1–25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 67%$7.47Mvolume
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$4.29Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.76Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.6Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.64Mvolume