Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win between 130 and 159 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats the party Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) wins in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e., seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market. Seats uncontested during the February 12 election (e.g., Sherpur-3) will not be considered for resolution of this market. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).