
Volume
$137K
Txns
1,497
Traders
314
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the eighth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the eighth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the eighth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the eighth launch, and this market will stay open until the eighth launch has occurred. If the eighth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 100%$560Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$363Kvolume
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Yes 100%$320Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$1.01Mvolume
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?
No 100%$127Kvolume
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Yes 100%$809Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Parz1vaI | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | applepie777 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | Zedron | Yes / 99.9¢ | -101.71 | $102 | |
| 1y | Parz1vaI | No / 0.1¢ | -101.71 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | Trodan | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | Patroclus | Yes / 99.9¢ | -25.97 | $25.9 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +25.97 | $25.9 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +861.35 | $860 | |
| 1y | RauchmelderAus | Yes / 99.9¢ | -861.35 | $860 | |
| 1y | legendjerry | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.77 | $30.7 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.77 | $30.7 | |
| 1y | TimeGoFishing | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Turamaton | Yes / 99.9¢ | -241.23 | $241 | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +241.23 | $241 | |
| 1y | sharks-485 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,038.75 | $1.04K | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,038.75 | $1.04K | |
| 1y | LlamaEnjoyer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +297.73 | $297 | |
| 1y | Kofod | Yes / 99.9¢ | -297.73 | $297 | |
| 1y | Sytzzz | Yes / 99.0¢ | -21.32 | $21.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.0¢ | +21.32 | $21.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.0¢ | +25.84 | $25.6 | |
| 1y | EvoZocker | Yes / 99.0¢ | -25.84 | $25.6 | |
| 1y | alexei.golovniov | Yes / 99.0¢ | -15.71 | $15.6 |
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