Will the Coalition win by 20–29 seats?

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on Saturday 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the Australian House of Representatives between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Australian general election (e.g. Labour control 80, Coalition controls 50, difference = 30). If neither the Labour party nor the Coalition win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).