Will the Conservative Party win less than 32% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?
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The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the Conservative Party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
