
Volume
$11K
Txns
572
Traders
92
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 9, 2026
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for December 2025. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The next data release is scheduled for January 9, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for December is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 55%$4.56Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.7Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 82%$1.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | daniel122134 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.49 | $2.49 | |
| 5mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.49 | $2.49 | |
| 5mo | tes12 | No / 99.0¢ | -33.07 | $32.7 | |
| 5mo | 0xec98...a2a0a8 | Yes / 14.0¢ | +6.00 | $0.84 | |
| 5mo | Tysha | No / 99.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 5mo | 0x626C35e072f3601977f449BccCF9b502d7458c43-1761374977776 | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 5mo | 28autos | Yes / 14.0¢ | -6.00 | $0.84 | |
| 5mo | 0x626C35e072f3601977f449BccCF9b502d7458c43-1761374977776 | No / 99.0¢ | -12.96 | $12.8 | |
| 5mo | deezytrading | No / 99.0¢ | +79.37 | $78.6 | |
| 5mo | per11 | No / 99.0¢ | -33.34 | $33 | |
| 5mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +14.62 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 99.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 5mo | 0x626C35e072f3601977f449BccCF9b502d7458c43-1761374977776 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.38 | $5.33 | |
| 5mo | 0x626C35e072f3601977f449BccCF9b502d7458c43-1761374977776 | No / 99.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 5mo | esfse | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 5mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +0.37 | $0 | |
| 5mo | influenz.eth | No / 99.0¢ | +5.37 | $5.32 | |
| 5mo | polyphony - 24666 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | cigarettes | No / 94.0¢ | +58.56 | $55 | |
| 5mo | influenz.eth | No / 94.0¢ | +11.44 | $10.7 | |
| 5mo | cowcat | Yes / 6.0¢ | +11.44 | $0.69 | |
| 5mo | cowcat | Yes / 6.0¢ | +58.56 | $3.51 | |
| 5mo | cowcat | Yes / 11.0¢ | -7.00 | $0.77 | |
| 5mo | cowcat | Yes / 11.0¢ | -10.00 | $1.1 | |
| 5mo | investmax | Yes / 11.0¢ | +7.00 | $0.77 |
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