
Volume
$222K
Txns
4,849
Traders
1,167
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 17, 2025
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2025 meeting. If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for April 16-17, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by July 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.11Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.1Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$17.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 91%$17.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 73%$3.58Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$5.64Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | wallstreetbetter | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 1y | UwO | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,005.08 | $2K | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,005.08 | $2K | |
| 1y | Cornelis | Yes / 99.9¢ | -110.32 | $110 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +110.32 | $110 | |
| 1y | pushit2themax | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12.50 | $12.5 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12.50 | $12.5 | |
| 1y | 0x3ad3...4122df | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.23 | $6.22 | |
| 1y | 0xb409...416bb5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.25 | $10.2 | |
| 1y | 0xc1e6...5b10c5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.04 | $5.03 | |
| 1y | 0xdccb...f933d0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -11.74 | $11.7 | |
| 1y | 0xC57d2027b7b007729a54882e9d5C9D5bfDBB26B9-1740583378211 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.04 | $5.03 | |
| 1y | 0x1AD46e13263B6c7941d4C9Ec67839Dc34f616f59-1744632501747 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -6.02 | $6.01 | |
| 1y | 0x4f1c...9bdc65 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 1y | 0x87c4...2323f2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 1y | 0xf7e362d1eF991F0DE616DC689ac33Ca87b694298-1742266486618 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.73 | $5.72 | |
| 1y | 0x96C9F4e4d4f38187024275DF011211dF31fddC85-1740667465808 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 1y | disskkk | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.12 | $5.11 | |
| 1y | 0x5d06...76b7a0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.11 | $10.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +112.31 | $112 | |
| 1y | Kissight | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.04 | $5.03 | |
| 1y | 0x6f6b...ae8873 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.06 | $5.05 | |
| 1y | 0xa3be...e9c642 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 | |
| 1y | kihow | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.05 | $5.04 |
1–25