Will the Liberal party lead by less than 4% on April 18?

This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.