Will the median gas price per blob be <0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844?
ResolvedVolume
$51K
Txns
392
Traders
58
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 29, 2024
Volume
$51K
Txns
392
Traders
58
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 29, 2024
Ethereum Improvement Proposal 4844 (or “proto-danksharding”) is a major step toward scaling Ethereum. It lowers the cost of posting L2 rollup data to the Ethereum mainnet via “blobs” (see https://consensys.io/blog/ethereum-evolved-dencun-upgrade-part-5-eip-4844). There has been much discussion about what the gas prices per blob will be after EIP-4844 is introduced. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the median gas price per blob is less than 0.0001 ETH one month after EIP-4844 launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If EIP-4844 hasn’t been launched by Dec 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be on-chain data for blob prices exactly 30 days (720 hours) after EIP-4844 is launched. Specifically, 30 days after EIP-4844 is launched, the median gas price per blob during the following 7-day (168 hour) period will be calculated and used to resolve this market. This market may be updated with specific sources that will be looked at for determining resolution.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | 50Whence | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 2y | killeer | Yes / 99.0¢ | -128.20 | $127 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +128.20 | $127 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | tf2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 0.2¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 2y | hoticecube | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | +422.00 | $422 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 99.9¢ | -422.00 | $422 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | No / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,610.91 | $3.61K | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 99.9¢ | -610.91 | $610 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 0.4¢ | +200.00 | $0.8 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 0.3¢ | +200.00 | $0.6 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | No / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2y | Anjun | No / 0.3¢ | +200.00 | $0.6 | |
| 2y | catfish | No / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 |
1–25
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