Will the median gas price per blob be >=0.1 ETH one month after EIP-4844?
ResolvedVolume
$17K
Txns
186
Traders
24
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 29, 2024
Volume
$17K
Txns
186
Traders
24
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 29, 2024
Ethereum Improvement Proposal 4844 (or “proto-danksharding”) is a major step toward scaling Ethereum. It lowers the cost of posting L2 rollup data to the Ethereum mainnet via “blobs” (see https://consensys.io/blog/ethereum-evolved-dencun-upgrade-part-5-eip-4844). There has been much discussion about what the gas prices per blob will be after EIP-4844 is introduced. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the median gas price per blob is greater than 0.1 ETH one month after EIP-4844 launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If EIP-4844 hasn’t been launched by Dec 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be on-chain data for blob prices exactly 30 days (720 hours) after EIP-4844 is launched. Specifically, 30 days after EIP-4844 is launched, the median gas price per blob during the following 7-day (168 hour) period will be calculated and used to resolve this market. This market may be updated with specific sources that will be looked at for determining resolution.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | LBZcapital | No / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | professorx | Yes / 0.1¢ | +501.46 | $0.5 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -501.46 | $0.5 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | +201.46 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | truthteller | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,400.00 | $1.4 | |
| 2y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +1,801.46 | $1.8K | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.46 | $0 | |
| 2y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 2y | WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets | Yes / 0.1¢ | -201.46 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | Anjun | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 |
1–25
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