Volume
$9K
Txns
500
Traders
86
Fees
$76
Liquidity
$2,822
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.22Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 88%$1.86Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 91%$977Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
No 87%$75.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | balthazar | Yes / 21.0¢ | +210.00 | $45.5 | |
| 4h | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 79.0¢ | +95.04 | $75.1 | |
| 4h | ultralisk | No / 79.0¢ | +100.00 | $79 | |
| 4h | Colala | Yes / 21.0¢ | -14.96 | $3.14 | |
| 12h | shamozhier | No / 78.3¢ | -38.47 | $30.1 | |
| 12h | Colala | Yes / 21.0¢ | -38.47 | $8.08 | |
| 12h | ultralisk | Yes / 18.0¢ | +30.43 | $5.48 | |
| 12h | tmilinovic | Yes / 17.4¢ | -30.43 | $5.3 | |
| 12h | lasidia | Yes / 21.0¢ | +4.76 | $1.03 | |
| 12h | Colala | Yes / 21.0¢ | -4.76 | $1 | |
| 14h | ultralisk | No / 79.0¢ | +30.43 | $24 | |
| 14h | tmilinovic | Yes / 21.0¢ | +30.43 | $6.59 | |
| 15h | Colala | Yes / 20.0¢ | +3.70 | $0.74 | |
| 15h | Colala | Yes / 20.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.2 | |
| 15h | testik2 | No / 80.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.84 | |
| 15h | testik2 | No / 80.0¢ | +11.00 | $8.87 | |
| 15h | Colala | Yes / 20.0¢ | +7.30 | $1.46 | |
| 15h | testik2 | No / 80.0¢ | +11.00 | $8.87 | |
| 15h | Colala | Yes / 20.0¢ | +11.00 | $2.2 | |
| 19h | saxx123 | No / 77.3¢ | -0.61 | $0.47 | |
| 19h | Colala | Yes / 22.0¢ | -0.61 | $0.13 | |
| 21h | Oklmntrader | Yes / 21.0¢ | -14.47 | $3.04 | |
| 21h | Sugadisna | Yes / 21.0¢ | +28.57 | $6.19 | |
| 21h | Colala | Yes / 21.0¢ | -14.10 | $2.96 | |
| 23h | KickstandBot | No / 80.0¢ | +7.00 | $5.64 |
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