
Volume
$118K
Txns
1,330
Traders
188
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres in total. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the total number of acres the Palisades fire burnt once it is no longer active (100% contained). If the fire is still active as of December, 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT, this market will resolve based on total number of acres burnt at that point. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | duderr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | NBetz | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.7¢ | +3,944.85 | $3.93K | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 0.3¢ | +1,920.00 | $5.76 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 0.3¢ | +1,924.85 | $5.77 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 0.3¢ | +75.15 | $0.23 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.7¢ | +75.15 | $74.9 | |
| 1y | FrancisSP8 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -3,493.06 | $3.49K | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.8¢ | +3,493.06 | $3.49K | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.8¢ | +6.94 | $6.93 | |
| 1y | neobrother | Yes / 99.8¢ | -6.94 | $6.93 | |
| 1y | Junetani | Yes / 99.9¢ | +63.91 | $63.8 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -63.91 | $63.8 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -84.53 | $84.4 | |
| 1y | UCYHIM | Yes / 99.9¢ | +84.53 | $84.4 | |
| 1y | NBetz | No / 0.1¢ | +85.99 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.98 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | Icadyna | Yes / 99.9¢ | +87.97 | $87.9 | |
| 1y | APOkio | Yes / 99.9¢ | +48.16 | $48.1 | |
| 1y | NBetz | No / 0.1¢ | +48.16 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Goltirn | Yes / 99.9¢ | +101.56 | $101 | |
| 1y | NBetz | No / 0.1¢ | +101.56 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | NBetz | No / 0.1¢ | +84.55 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | Juihy | Yes / 99.9¢ | +84.55 | $84.5 |
1–25
Will the Palisades fire burn between 30-40k acres in total?
No 100%$36Kvolume
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by Sunday?
No 100%$210Kvolume
Will the Palisades fire burn between 40-50k acres in total?
No 100%$50.2Kvolume
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?
No 100%$97.6Kvolume
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?
No 100%$237Kvolume
Will the Palisades fire burn 60k or more acres in total?
No 100%$40.2Kvolume