
Volume
$34K
Txns
2,219
Traders
292
Fees
$75
Ends
May 5, 2026
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s May meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its May 5, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their May 5, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$22Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.4Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 94%$1.6Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.77Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 54%$1.84Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 2sharpie | No / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 1mo | probability | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 1mo | Bonduk | No / 99.9¢ | -6.45 | $6.44 | |
| 1mo | probability | No / 99.9¢ | +6.45 | $6.44 | |
| 1mo | orenmiz | No / 99.1¢ | -6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 1mo | balthazar | No / 99.1¢ | +6.00 | $5.95 | |
| 1mo | probability | No / 99.0¢ | +14.94 | $14.8 | |
| 1mo | Buhgxzdre | No / 99.0¢ | -14.94 | $14.8 | |
| 1mo | vesper-123 | No / 99.0¢ | -39.00 | $38.6 | |
| 1mo | probability | No / 99.0¢ | +39.00 | $38.6 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 0.3¢ | +89.99 | $0.27 | |
| 1mo | AlphaPengu1n | Yes / 0.2¢ | +80.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1mo | probability | No / 99.8¢ | +229.97 | $229 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.01 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500 | No / 99.7¢ | +10.01 | $9.98 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.01 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | Sorr-mommy | No / 99.0¢ | +50.48 | $50 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 1.0¢ | +50.51 | $0.51 | |
| 1mo | AlphaPengu1n | Yes / 2.6¢ | +4.97 | $0.13 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 2.7¢ | +50.01 | $1.35 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 2.6¢ | +38.47 | $1 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 2.5¢ | -93.45 | $2.36 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 2.7¢ | +49.99 | $1.35 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 2.6¢ | -49.99 | $1.28 |
1–25