Will the State of the Union begin between 9:45PM and 10PM ET?

The State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the time (ET) Donald Trump delivers the 2026 State of the Union address. The State of the Union will be considered to have begun at the time Donald Trump begins speaking at the podium for the first time. If no State of the Union occurs by March 31, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the later bracket. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.