Will the US add at least 200k jobs in May?
ActiveVolume
$38
Txns
12
Traders
5
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 5, 2026
Volume
$38
Txns
12
Traders
5
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 5, 2026
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | DkOYL | No / 95.0¢ | +1.12 | $1.07 | |
| 10d | Bumza97 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +1.12 | $0.06 | |
| 10d | aHjCz | No / 95.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.52 | |
| 10d | Bumza97 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.5 | |
| 10d | Hugin-og-Munin | No / 91.0¢ | +7.00 | $6.4 | |
| 10d | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 10d | Hugin-og-Munin | No / 91.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.57 | |
| 10d | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +7.00 | $0.63 | |
| 10d | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +8.00 | $0.72 | |
| 10d | Hugin-og-Munin | No / 91.0¢ | +8.00 | $7.31 | |
| 11d | Bumza97 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +7.00 | $0.35 | |
| 11d | aHjCz | No / 95.0¢ | +7.00 | $6.67 |
1–12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 66%$7.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 95%$17.6Mvolume
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$4.32Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.77Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.35Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.65Mvolume