Will the US add less than 50k jobs in April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 80%·$20.7Mvolume

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99%·$20.9Mvolume

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 51%·$4.54Mvolume

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 100%·$8.62Mvolume

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 82%·$1.38Mvolume

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 100%·$11Mvolume