
Volume
$187K
Txns
1,748
Traders
372
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Afghanistan between June 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Afghanistan or the United States as of June 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | AndyPerrol | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | AndyPerrol | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 4mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | LBZone | No / 99.9¢ | -420.48 | $420 | |
| 4mo | Car | Yes / 0.1¢ | -420.48 | $0.42 | |
| 4mo | Car | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,104.28 | $1.1 | |
| 4mo | denizz | No / 99.9¢ | -1,104.28 | $1.1K | |
| 4mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.41 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.65 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.30 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Polfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.76 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.79 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.14 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.31 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Oddn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.42 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +61.00 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.61 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | Car | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,561.87 | $1.56 | |
| 4mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.24 | $0.04 |
1–25
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?
No 100%$27.4Kvolume
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 15?
No 100%$5.03Kvolume
US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?
No 100%$45.1Kvolume
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?
No 100%$3.92Kvolume
Pakistan strikes Kabul by February 28?
Yes 100%$22.7Kvolume
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
No 100%$116Kvolume