Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$2M
Txns
29,081
Traders
4,629
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$90,934
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$2M
Txns
29,081
Traders
4,629
Fees
$9
Liquidity
$90,934
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
1–25
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
No 91%$47.4Kvolume
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 54%$2.11Mvolume
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Yes 56%$46.1Kvolume
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
No 80%$840Kvolume
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Yes 99%$155Kvolume
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
No 71%$122Kvolume