Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$219K
Txns
3,375
Traders
597
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$24,503
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$219K
Txns
3,375
Traders
597
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$24,503
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h | 0x7c81...835d38 | No / 89.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.45 | |
| 13h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.55 | |
| 13h | 0xab99...322c8b | No / 89.0¢ | -35.94 | $32 | |
| 13h | tiger11 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -32.38 | $3.56 | |
| 13h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -3.56 | $0.39 | |
| 13h | tiger11 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -8.39 | $0.92 | |
| 13h | 0x6bd1...3c9e1d | No / 89.0¢ | -8.39 | $7.47 | |
| 13h | FutureTech | Yes / 11.0¢ | -15.43 | $1.7 | |
| 13h | 0xc61d...8f1bb2 | No / 89.0¢ | -194.42 | $173 | |
| 13h | tiger11 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -178.99 | $19.7 | |
| 13h | albuquerque | No / 89.0¢ | +3.95 | $3.52 | |
| 13h | FutureTech | Yes / 11.0¢ | -4.57 | $0.5 | |
| 13h | 0xbf47...94e2b7 | No / 89.0¢ | -8.52 | $7.58 | |
| 14h | 0x1f48...43a145 | No / 89.0¢ | -697.97 | $621 | |
| 14h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -26.45 | $2.91 | |
| 14h | 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -450.47 | $49.6 | |
| 14h | albuquerque | No / 89.0¢ | +16.05 | $14.3 | |
| 14h | PaddyAlpha | No / 89.0¢ | +205.00 | $182 | |
| 1d | baguettte | No / 90.0¢ | -7.23 | $6.51 | |
| 1d | kilovol | Yes / 10.0¢ | -7.23 | $0.72 | |
| 1d | MrRobertHouse | No / 90.0¢ | +1.11 | $1 | |
| 1d | baguettte | No / 90.0¢ | -1.11 | $1 | |
| 2d | baguettte | No / 90.0¢ | -11.11 | $10 | |
| 2d | Idapro555 | No / 90.0¢ | +11.11 | $10 | |
| 2d | 0x92958D38B3311faDADc52EE88875Ca6A59fd81C2-1779124169688 | No / 90.0¢ | +1.11 | $1 |
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