
Volume
$7M
Txns
44,614
Traders
5,011
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$27.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.77Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 98%$2.88Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 60%$10.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 84%$2.03Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Donk6199 | No / 99.9¢ | -145.41 | $145 | |
| 3mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -145.41 | $0.15 | |
| 3mo | Bska36 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.08 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -96.08 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Bska36 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.91 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0x6d267C6064780C0A5F3dcad19BD71dfa9AddfD74-1770581467560 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.91 | $3.91 | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +118.00 | $0.12 | |
| 3mo | wwollace | No / 99.9¢ | -15.18 | $15.2 | |
| 3mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +129.00 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | No / 99.9¢ | -250.00 | $250 | |
| 3mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +186.00 | $0.19 | |
| 3mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +242.00 | $0.24 | |
| 3mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +299.00 | $0.3 | |
| 3mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | 2fighell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 3mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +119.00 | $0.12 | |
| 3mo | denizz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150,000.00 | $150 | |
| 3mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +127.00 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 |
1–25