Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$28K
Txns
396
Traders
100
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,807
Volume
$28K
Txns
396
Traders
100
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,807
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | dpnd | Yes / 11.0¢ | +0.13 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | godblessme2026 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -0.13 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | dpnd | Yes / 9.0¢ | +16.00 | $1.44 | |
| 1d | graynotebook19 | No / 91.0¢ | +16.00 | $14.6 | |
| 2d | falcon05408 | No / 92.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.92 | |
| 2d | 0x545136bfDf3A9F1C9818E565549a066FF6586F23-1765454940908 | Yes / 8.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.08 | |
| 3d | 0x8712 | No / 87.0¢ | +19.01 | $16.5 | |
| 3d | svoter | No / 87.0¢ | -19.01 | $16.5 | |
| 5d | ypineault | No / 89.0¢ | +5.62 | $5 | |
| 5d | dpnd | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.62 | $0.62 | |
| 5d | ypineault | No / 91.0¢ | +1.10 | $1 | |
| 5d | dpnd | Yes / 9.0¢ | +1.10 | $0.1 | |
| 6d | svoter | No / 88.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.4 | |
| 6d | aHjCz | Yes / 12.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.6 | |
| 6d | dpnd | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.09 | $0.56 | |
| 6d | svoter | No / 89.0¢ | +5.09 | $4.53 | |
| 6d | svoter | No / 89.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.45 | |
| 6d | adfadfadfgf | Yes / 11.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.55 | |
| 6d | svoter | No / 90.0¢ | +5.07 | $4.56 | |
| 6d | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +5.07 | $0.51 | |
| 6d | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6d | animal.bean | No / 90.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.5 | |
| 6d | christobirizz | No / 90.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.5 | |
| 6d | 0x8712 | No / 87.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.35 | |
| 6d | dpnd | Yes / 10.0¢ | +5.03 | $0.5 |
1–25
Trump kiss by May 31?
Yes 100%$6.67Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 100%$751Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 100%$393Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
No 99%$5.47Mvolume
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 91%$2.18Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
No 91%$238Kvolume