
Volume
$29K
Txns
1,264
Traders
271
Fees
$3
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -5.23 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | 0xd16a...31fea0 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.23 | $5.22 | |
| 11d | 0x7442...e1a445 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.51 | $5.5 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -5.51 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | 0x2929...3bfc8f | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 11d | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | -5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11d | 0x27fa...818005 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -6.02 | $6.01 | |
| 11d | Robbb | Yes / 99.8¢ | +6.02 | $6.01 | |
| 11d | 0x291f...c64070 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -6.03 | $6 | |
| 11d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -299.74 | $298 | |
| 11d | NeoSay10 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +705.77 | $702 | |
| 11d | alexkrg | No / 0.5¢ | +400.00 | $2 | |
| 13d | GUINESS123 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -5.23 | $5.2 | |
| 13d | 0xd16a...31fea0 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +5.23 | $5.2 | |
| 13d | Biver52 | No / 0.6¢ | +100.00 | $0.6 | |
| 13d | OneBadBet | Yes / 99.4¢ | +100.00 | $99.4 | |
| 13d | TooLateJerome021 | No / 1.1¢ | +83.99 | $0.92 | |
| 13d | 0xd16a...31fea0 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -5.03 | $4.98 | |
| 13d | OneBadBet | Yes / 98.9¢ | +89.02 | $88.1 | |
| 14d | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 98.9¢ | +9.89 | $9.79 | |
| 14d | TooLateJerome021 | No / 1.1¢ | +9.89 | $0.11 | |
| 15d | ultralisk | No / 1.1¢ | -100.00 | $1.06 | |
| 15d | TooLateJerome021 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 15d | TooLateJerome021 | No / 1.1¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 15d | ehhhheh | Yes / 98.9¢ | +1.01 | $1 |
1–25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 53%$1.32Mvolume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 52%$1.17Mvolume
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 2?
No 97%$2.61Kvolume
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Yes 67%$58.6Kvolume
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$6.28Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
No 83%$2Kvolume