Will Trump and JD Vance not shake hands during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and JD Vance during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify. If no handshake occurs during the date of the 2026 State of the Union address, or if no such event takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. The resolution source will be video footage.