
Volume
$33K
Txns
665
Traders
177
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 24, 2026
The 2026 State of the Union address is scheduled to take place on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump drinks from a water bottle, cup, or other vessel ostensibly containing water. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Drinks from containers such as cans with brand labelling indicating non-water contents will not qualify. Any sip take from when Trump reaches the podium to when he finishes speaking will count. Sips taken after the completion of the speech will not qualify. If the address is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on video footage of the events, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84%$2.45Bvolume
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$43.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$5.89Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 57%$27.3Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$21.9Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | empty-dog | Yes / 7.8¢ | -1.20 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | LM77 | No / 92.2¢ | -1.20 | $1.11 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -315.57 | $315 | |
| 3mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +315.57 | $315 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x47f9...679dcf | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | thunderface | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | greyhog | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | 0xc804...f6ea3e | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | outcomes | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | 0xd001...bdb753 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x2dcb...33f27f | No / 99.9¢ | +6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 3mo | iamvengenance | No / 99.9¢ | -1,127.20 | $1.13K | |
| 3mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +1,127.20 | $1.13K | |
| 3mo | iamvengenance | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 3mo | 1A1zP1eP5QGefi2DMPTfTL5SLmv7DivfNa1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | iamvengenance | No / 99.9¢ | -24.39 | $24.4 | |
| 3mo | 0xc130F496DB03782BBCb50CD2bFF9470AdA1c015D-1771816337327 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -24.39 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | dougmacray | Yes / 0.1¢ | -95.18 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | iamvengenance | No / 99.9¢ | -95.18 | $95.1 | |
| 3mo | dougmacray | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.21 | $0 |
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