
Volume
$90K
Txns
1,691
Traders
289
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 27, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on People's Republic of China by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.21Mvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
No 100%$74.9Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 100%$120Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Isaak👴 | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 1y | tigercager | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.8¢ | -20.19 | $20.1 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -20.19 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ticktokyes | No / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | PutsOnPeace | No / 99.9¢ | +905.91 | $905 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.9¢ | -23.30 | $23.3 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -510.61 | $510 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | 0xaD112 | No / 99.9¢ | +32.03 | $32 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -32.03 | $32 | |
| 1y | 0xCE2C2 | No / 99.9¢ | +31.03 | $31 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -31.03 | $31 | |
| 1y | FrancisSP8 | No / 99.4¢ | +41.55 | $41.3 | |
| 1y | cocutorme1986 | No / 99.4¢ | -41.55 | $41.3 | |
| 1y | cocutorme1986 | No / 99.4¢ | -25.15 | $25 | |
| 1y | 0x46Acb | No / 99.4¢ | +25.15 | $25 |
1–25